




版權說明:本文檔由用戶提供并上傳,收益歸屬內容提供方,若內容存在侵權,請進行舉報或認領
文檔簡介
Global
Energy
Monitor
ARacetotheTop
2024SOUTHEASTASIA
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
Global
Energy
Monitor
ABOUTGLOBALENERGYMONITOR
GlobalEnergyMonitor(GEM)developsandanalyzesdataonenergyinfrastructure,resources,anduses.Weprovideopenaccesstoinformationthatisessen-tialtobuildingasustainableenergyfuture.-FollowusatandonTwitter-@GlobalEnergyMon.
ABOUTTHEGLOBALSOLARANDWINDPOWERTRACKERS
TheGlobalSolarPowerTrackerisaworldwidedatasetofutility-scalesolarphotovoltaicandsolarthermalfacilities.Itincludessolarfarmphaseswithcapacitiesof20mega-watts(MW)ormore(10MWormoreinArabic-speakingcountries)andmediumutility-scaleprojectsdownto1MWglobally.TheGlobalWindPowerTrackerisaworldwidedatasetofutility-scale,onandoffshorewindfacilities.Itincludeswindfarmphaseswithcapacitiesof10megawatts(MW)ormore.
AUTHORS
JannaSmithisaresearcheratGlobalEnergyMonitor.KasandraO’MaliaistheprojectmanagerfortheGlobalSolarPowerTracker.ShradheyPrasadistheprojectman-agerfortheGlobalWindPowerTracker.NassosStylionouisthedatavisualizationanalystatGlobalEnergyMonitor.IngridBehrsinisthedirectoroftheRenewables&OtherPowerprogramatGlobalEnergyMonitor.
EDITINGANDPRODUCTION
DesignandpagelayoutbyDavidVanNess.FiguresandmapsbyNassosStylianou.EditingcontributionswereprovidedbyStefaniCoxandDavidHoffman.CopyeditsbyAmandaDeBord.
ABOUTTHECOVER
Photocopyright?2022benjawanasawalapsakul/Shutterstock.
PERMISSIONS/COPYRIGHT
Copyright?GlobalEnergyMonitor.DistributedunderaCreativeCommonsAttribution4.0InternationalLicense.
FURTHERRESOURCES
Foradditionaldataonproposedandexistingsolarprojects,seeSummaryDataoftheGlobalSolarPowerTracker.ForlinkstoreportsbasedontheGlobalSolarPowerTrackerdata,seeReports&Briefings.ToobtainprimarydatafromtheGlobalSolarPowerTracker,seeDownloadData.
Foradditionaldataonproposedandexistingwindprojects,seeSummaryDataoftheGlobalWindPowerTracker.ForlinkstoreportsbasedontheGlobalWindPowerTrackerdata,seeReports&Briefings.ToobtainprimarydatafromtheGlobalWindPowerTracker,seeDownloadData.
Supplementaryinformationonthemethodologyusedforthisreportcanbefoundonourmethodologywikipage.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ThisreportwasmadepossiblewithsupportfromtheQuadratureClimateFoundation.GEMgratefullyacknowl-edgesthepeerreviewandhelpfulfeedbackfromDr.ChalieCharoenlarpnopparut(SDGMove),DeonArinaldo(InstituteforEssentialServicesReform),andDimitriPescia(AgoraEnergiewende).
MEDIACONTACT
JannaSmith
Researcher,GlobalEnergyMonitorjanna.smith@
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|2
Global
Energy
Monitor
ARacetotheTop2024:
SoutheastAsia
OperatingsolarandwindcapacityinSoutheastAsiagrowsbyafifthsincelastyear,butonly3%ofprospectiveprojectsareinconstruction
INTRODUCTION
ASEANcountries1collectivelyhaveoneofthefastest-growingeconomiesintheworld,withanincreasingenergydemandtomatch.Astheaverageglobalenergydemandgrewby16%between2015and2021,ASEANdemandgrewby22%inthesametimeperiod.AccordingtotheInternationalEnergyAgency(IEA),energydemandacrossASEANcountriesisexpectedtogrowby3%annuallyuntil2030.
Despitetheireconomicresources,ASEANcountriesfaceadualchallengeinseekingtofulfillenergytransitiontargetsamidstrapidgrowth,giventheeffectsofclimatechange.Amongthemostvulnerable,thesecountriesarealreadyexperiencingflooding,drought,risingsealevelsandheatwaves,allofwhicharestrainingelectricitysuppliesinthecontextofgrowingenergydemand.
ASEANmemberstateshavesetacollectiverenewableenergycapacitytargetof35%by2025.Includingalltypesofrenewablepower,theregionisalreadyclosetomeetingitsgoalbycurrentlyhaving32%ofitstotalcapacitysourcedfromrenewables.Theregioncurrentlyhas28gigawatt(GW)oflargeutility-scale2solarandwindpowerinoperation?—?accountingfor9%oftotalelectricalcapacityintheregion.ASEANwouldhavetobuild17GWofutility-scalewindandsolarcapacityby2025toreachthisgoal.Withonlya3%renewablecapacityincreasenecessarytomeetthis-target,ASEANcountriesareexpectedtonotonlymeetthisgoal,butsurpassit.
TheAssociationofSoutheastAsianNations(ASEAN)memberstatesincludeBrunei,Cambodia,Indonesia,Laos,Malaysia,Myanmar,thePhilippines,Singapore,Thailand,andVietnam.AlthoughTimorLesteisnotyetanofficialmemberstateofASEAN,itisconsideredthe11thmemberinprincipleandwaspresentatASEAN’s43rdSummitinIndonesia.Therefore,forthepurposeofthisreport,TimorLesteisconsideredapartofASEAN.Pleaserefertothemethodologypageforafulllistofcountriesinthereport.
GEMcatalogsallsolarinstallations20MWandgreaterandallwindinstallationsgreaterthan10MW.Both“largeutility-scalesolar”and“utility-scalesolar”areusedthroughoutthetexttorefertosuchprojects.
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|3
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
Atthesametime,however,continuedsupportforgasandcoal,regulatoryhur-dles,andpoliciesunsupportiveofrenewableenergybuildoutarestymyingtherapidtransitionthatisnecessarytobreaktheregion’sdependenceongasandcoalandprogressrenewableenergyinASEANcountries.Whiletheregionhaspoten-tialtoincreaseitsrenewablescapacityseven-fold?—?thisreportdocumentsover220GWofdocumentedprospective3utility-scalesolarandwindcapacity?—?only3%ofASEANcountries’totalprospectivecapacityiscurrentlyinconstruction.Theglobalaverage,barringChina,isovertwicethatofASEANcountries,at7%prospectivecapacityunderconstruction.
Keyfindings
ASEANcountrieshaveover28GWofoperatingutility-scalesolarandwindcapacityanda20%increaseinoperatingcapacitysinceJanuary2023andmakeup9%ofASEANcountries’totalelectricalcapacity.
Vietnamhasthelargestshareofoperatingutility-scalesolarandwindcapacityintheregion(19GW).ThailandandthePhilippinesfollow,eachwith3GWofoperatingutility-scalesolarandwindcapacity.
ThePhilippinesandVietnamareemergingleadersglobally.With99GWand86GWrespectivelyforprospectiveutility-scalesolarandwind,theyhavethe8thand9thlargestprospectivecapacityworldwide.
TheASEANcountrieshavealmostfivetimesmoreprospectiveoffshorewindpowerthanprospectiveonshorewindintheregion,whileprospectiveoff-shorecapacityintheregion(124GW)isnearlytwicethatofthecurrentglobaloffshoreoperatingcapacity(69GW).
InorderforASEANcountriestomeettheirgoalof35%installedrenewableenergycapacityby2025,17GWofadditionalutility-scalesolarandwindcapacityneedstobecomeoperationalamongASEANmembersinthenexttwoyears,yetonly3%(6GW)ofits220GWofprospectiveutility-scalesolarandwindiscurrentlyinconstruction.
Prospectiveprojectsareanyprojectsthatareeitherannounced,inpre-construction,orunderconstruction.Additionalterminologyinformationcanbefoundhere.
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|4
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
I.ASEANCOUNTRIESHAVEINCREASEDOPERATINGUTILITY-SCALESOLARANDWINDBY20%SINCEJANUARY2023
GlobalEnergyMonitor’sGlobalSolarPowerTrackerandGlobalWindPowerTrackercurrentlycatalogmorethan28GWofoperatingutility-scalesolarandwindcapacityacrossASEANcountries,a20%year-over-yearincreaseinoperatingcapacitysinceJanuary2023.Whileutility-scalesolarcontributesthebulkoftheoverallcapacityincrease(3GWor17%growth),
itwasoperationalwindcapacitythatsawthelargestcomparativerise(2GW,or29%growth)sinceJanuary2023.Offshorewinddevelopmentaccountsfor2GWofatotalof9GWofoperatingutility-scalewindcapac-ity;thisisnoteworthygiventhetechnicalchallengesandassociatedhighercostsofoffshorewindcom-paredtoonshorewind.
Table1:OperatingUtility-ScaleSolar&WindPowerinSoutheastAsiaCountry-leveloperatingutility-scalesolar&windpowercapacity,inmegawatts(MW)
Country
OperatingSolar
OperatingWind
OperatingSolar&Wind
Vietnam
13,035
6,466
19,501
Thailand
1,041
2,092
3,133
Philippines
2,343
675
3,018
Malaysia
1,577
0
1,577
Cambodia
429
0
429
Myanmar
190
0
190
Singapore
186
0
186
Indonesia
21
157
178
Brunei
0
0
0
Laos
0
0
0
Timor-Leste
0
0
0
Note:Dataincludesonlysolarprojectphaseswithacapacityof20megawatts(MW)ormoreandwindprojectphaseswithacapacityof10MWormore.
Source:GlobalSolarPowerTracker,GlobalWindPowerTracker
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|5
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
Vietnamhasthelargestoperatingcapacityofutility-scalesolarandwind,followedbyThailandandthePhilippines
Vietnamisthecurrentregionalleaderintermsofoperatingutility-scalesolarandwindcapacity,withmorethandoublethecapacityoftheothermembercountriescombined(over19GWcomparedto9GW).Operationalutility-scalesolarandwindcapacitymakeup25%ofVietnam’stotalenergymix,comparedtotheaverageamongASEANnationsof9%.4Startingin2017,Vietnamdeployedaseriesofcompetitiveandincentivizedinvestmentpoliciestobringutility-scalesolarprojectsintooperation,leadingtoaboominsolardevelopment.Twofeed-in-tariff(FIT)programsweredeployedbyVietnam’sstate-ownedutilityfrom
2017to2020.Upontheexpirationoftheseprograms,Vietnamfailedtoadministerareplacementpricingpolicy.CoupledwithCOVID-19pandemic-ledsupplychaindisruptions,manyprojectswerenotoperationalbeforeFITcut-offdates,andwereleftwithoutlongtermguidanceforfurtherprojectdevelopmentandgridintegration.ThoughVietnamstilladdedover
12GWofutility-scalesolarcapacityfrom2019–2021,gapsinrenewableenergypolicyhavecurtailedtheoperationalizationofutility-scalesolarandwind,with2022seeingthecommissioningof1GWcomparedtonearly4GWin2021.
Figure1:OperatingSolar&WindPowerinSoutheastAsia
Totaloperatingutility-scalesolar&windpowercapacitybycounty,ingigawatts(GW)
Note:Dataincludesonlysolarprojectphaseswithacapacityof20megawatts(MW)ormoreandwindprojectphaseswithacapacityof10MWormore.
Brunei,Laos,andTimor-Lestedonothaveanyoperatingcapacity.
Source:GlobalSolarPowerTracker,GlobalWindPowerTracker
4.Fordetailsondefinitionsandmethodologyseethemethodologypage.
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|6
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
Map1:SoutheastAsia’sOperatingWindFarms
LocationsofoperatingwindpowerinSoutheastAsia,circlessizedby
megawatt(MW)capacity
Note:Dataonlyincludeswindprojectphaseswithacapacityof10MWormore.
Source:GlobalWindPowerTracker
Map2:SoutheastAsia’sOperatingSolarFarms
Locationsofoperatingutility-scalesolarpowerinSoutheastAsia,
circlessizedbymegawatt(MW)capacity
Note:Dataincludesonlysolarprojectphaseswithacapacityof20metawatts(MW)
ormore.
Source:GlobalSolarPowerTracker
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|7
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
ThailandandthePhilippineseachhavemorethan
3GWofoperatingutility-scalesolarandwindcapacity.ThailandhasthesecondlargesteconomyofASEANnations,andisseenasalow-riskcountry,withfewbarriersforinvestmentinutility-scalesolarandwindprojects.ThisviewhasfacilitatedthegrowthofThai-land’s3GWofoperationalutility-scalesolarandwindcapacity,nearly67%ofwhichisfromonshorewind
development.ThePhilippineshostsastreamlinedprojectbiddingsystem,withpredominantlyprivatizedpowergeneration,allowingforanunencumberedpipelineforprojectdevelopment.Three-quartersofthePhilippines’operationalutility-scalesolarandwindcapacitycomesfromsolar.
Figure2:Solar&WindPowerCapacityinSoutheastAsia
Proportionofpowercapacitybrokendownbyaggregatepowersource;dashedlineshowsglobalaverageforsolarandwind
Source:EmberClimate
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|8
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
THEPHILIPPINESANDVIETNAMCONTRIBUTE80%OFASEAN’SPROSPECTIVEUTILITY-SCALESOLARANDWINDCAPACITY,BUTCONSTRUCTIONRATESREMAINLOW
Theleadersforprospectiveutility-scalesolarandwindcapacityamongASEANcountriesarethe
Philippines-andVietnam,withover185GWinannounced,pre-construction,-andconstructionstatus.-Collectively,thesecountriescontributeover80%
ofASEAN’sprospectiveutility-scalesolarandwindcapacity.Over60%ofthisprospectivecapacitycomesfromoffshorewinddevelopmentinVietnamandthePhilippines(72GWand52GWrespectively).However,only6.3GW(3%)ofallprospectivecapacityinASEANiscurrentlyunderconstruction.
ThePhilippinesaloneisresponsiblefornearlyhalf(45%)oftheprospectivecapacityofASEANcountries.ThisismorethanfivetimestheprospectivecapacityofanyotherASEANcountry,barringVietnam.The
PhilippineshasestablisheditsGreenEnergyAuctionProgram(GEAP)togrowitsrenewableenergysector.ThePhilippines’latestauction,inMarch2023,(GEA-2)encouragedover300bidstodevelop3GWofsolar,onshorewind,andbioenergywith2024–2026startdates.AsGEA-2wasinitiallysetuptofacilitatethedevelopmentofover11GW,theauctionwasevidentlylargelyundersubscribed.Onthebrightside,how-ever,thecapacitywonbybiddersdemonstrateda
75%increaseoverthefirstauctionin2022,indicatinggrowinginterestinthePhilippines’renewableenergysector.Offshorewindcomprisesthemajority(52%)ofthePhilippines’prospectiveutility-scalerenewablepowercapacity,withfivetimesmoreoffshorewindthanonshore.InApril2023,thePhilippinesadmin-isteredanexecutiveordertooutlinecooperation
Table2:ProspectiveUtility-ScaleSolar&WindPowerinSoutheastAsiaCountry-levelprospectiveutility-scalesolar&windpowercapacity,inmegawatts(MW)
Country
ProspectiveSolar
ProspectiveWind
ProspectiveSolar&Wind
Philippines
36,587
62,809
99,396
Vietnam
10,195
76,023
86,218
Indonesia
16,530
2,486
19,016
Myanmar
340
4,732
5,072
Laos
304
3,680
3,984
Thailand
2,702
435
3,137
Cambodia
2,470
0
2,470
Malaysia
2,372
0
2,372
Singapore
624
50
674
Brunei
30
0
30
Timor-Leste
0
0
0
Note:Dataincludesonlysolarprojectphaseswithacapacityof20megawatts(MW)ormoreandwindprojectphaseswithacapacityof10MWormore.
Source:GlobalSolarPowerTracker,GlobalWindPowerTracker
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|9
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
betweenprivateinvestorsandthegovernmentintheadministrationofoffshorewindpower.Sincetheorder’senactment,offshorewindcontractsmorethandoubledtonearly80,foratotalcapacityof61GW.
WhileVietnamhasover86GWofprospectivecapac-ity,including72GWofprospectiveoffshorewindcapacity,only2%isintheconstructionphase.Thediscrepancybetweenprospectiveandin-constructioncapacityisdueinparttoVietnam’slackofconciseandreliablerenewableenergypoliciesthatcouldserveasacrucialroadmapforprojectimplementation.Thishasleftmanyfinancierswithoutincentivetomoveforwardwithdevelopment.GlobalEnergyMonitorhascatalogednearly40GWofutility-scalesolarandwindprojectsinVietnamthathaveseennoprogression
orannouncementsinthepasttwoyears?—?atwhichpointtheseprojectsareconsideredshelved?—?further
demonstratingalackofincentivetoprioritizesolarandwindconstructionandgridconnectioninthecountry.
AnadditionalchallengethatVietnam’srenewableenergyeffortsarefacingistheenablingofaJustEnergyTransitionPartnership(JETP),withthesupportofG7countries,inordertoestablishmech-anismstoaccelerateVietnam’senergytransitionandreducethefinancialhurdlestodeveloparobustrenewableenergyeconomy,asitbacksawayfromfossilfueldependence.InMay2023,VietnamreleaseditsdelayedNationalElectricityDevelopmentPlanfor2021–2030,alsoknownasthePowerDevelopmentPlan8(PDP8).AlongwithmappingoutVietnam’sfutureenergymix,thisdocumentoutlinesthetra-jectoryofVietnam’spowerdevelopmentstrategyonimprovingthetransmissionofelectricityfordomestic
Figure3:ProspectiveSolar&WindPowerinSoutheastAsia
Totalprospectiveutility-scalesolar&windpowercapacitybycountry,ingigawatts(GW)
Note:Dataincludesonlysolarprojectphaseswithacapacityof20megawatts(MW)ormoreandwindproject
phaseswithacapacityof10MWormore.
Timor-Lestedoesnothaveanyprospectivecapacity.
Source:GlobalSolarPowerTracker,GlobalWindPowerTracker
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|10
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
use.Forinstance,PDP8statesVietnam’sgoalofachievingover27GWofoperationalwindcapacityby2030,afourfoldincreaseonitscurrentoperationalcapacityof6.5GW.ThetrueimpactofVietnam’sJETPandPDP8onthedevelopmentofutility-scalesolarandwindpowerinVietnamareyettobedetermined,asthealignmentofthesepoliciesandfundingschemesarestillindevelopment.
Indonesiahas19GWofprospectiveutility-scalesolarandwindcapacity,16.5GWofwhichissolar.Thir-teenGW(70%)ofthis19GWofprospectivecapacityisinannouncedphases.Noprojectsarecurrentlyunderconstruction.
WithinASEANcountries,Laosstandsoutforitssubstantialprospectiveutility-scalesolarandwindcapacityrelativetothesizeofitseconomy.Notably,Laos’prospectiveutility-scalesolarandwindcapacityrivalsthatofThailand(bothexceed3GW),despiteLaos’economybeingonly2%ofthesize.Further-more,withaneconomyjust3%ofthatofMalaysia’s,Laos’prospectiveutility-scalesolarandwindbuildupsurpassesMalaysia’sbymorethan150%,highlightingLaos’ambitiontopunchaboveitseconomicweight.Laos’developmentofutility-scalesolarandwindisfueledbyfinancialcollaborationwithASEANpart-ners.Impressively,LaosissettohouseASEAN’slarg-estonshorewindfarm,Monsoonwindfarm,whichiscurrentlyinconstructionwithanexpectedcapacityof600MW.
Figure4:HowDoesProspectiveSolar&WindCapacityRelatetoEconomicWealthinSoutheastAsia?
Totalprospectiveutility-scalesolar&windpowercapacitybycountryinmegawatts(MW)inlogscalealignedwithwealthinGDP
Note:Dataincludesonlysolarprojectphaseswithacapacityof20megawatts(MW)ormoreandwindprojectphaseswithacapacityof10MWormore.
Source:GlobalSolarPowerTracker,GlobalWindPowerTracker,IMF
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|11
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
Map3:SoutheastAsia’sProspectiveWindFarms
LocationsofprospectivewindpowerinSoutheastAsia,circlessizedbymegawatt(MW)capacity
Note:Dataincludesonlywindprojectphaseswithacapacityof10MWormore.
Source:GlobalWindPowerTracker
Map4:SoutheastAsia’sProspectiveSolarFarms
Locationsofprospectiveutility-scalesolarpowerinSoutheastAsia,
circlessizedbymegawatt(MW)capacity
Note:Dataincludesonlysolarprojectphaseswithacapacityof20megawatts
(MW)ormore.
Source:GlobalSolarPowerTracker
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|12
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
ASEANABILITYTOREACHREGIONAL2025RENEWABLEENERGYTARGETSHINGESONREDUCINGGASANDCOALUSE
WhileASEANmemberstatesareworkingtowardstransparentandsupportiveenergypolicy,ASEAN’stargetof35%oftotaloperatingenergycapacityby2025fromrenewablepoweriseasilyattainableandultimatelyunambitiousforASEAN.ASEANcountriesalreadyhaveanoperatingrenewableenergycapacityof32%,includingoperatinghydropower,geothermal,bioenergy,solar,andwind.
Indeed,thegapbetweenoperationalcapacityandthetargeted35%canbeeasilymetwithutility-scalesolarandwindalreadyinASEANcountries’prospectivepipelines.EveninthecontextofASEANcountries’rapidgrowthinenergydemand?—?anestimated3%annualriseuntil2030?—?ASEANcountriesonlyneedtocommissiontheir6.3GWofutility-scalesolarandwindcurrentlyinconstruction,plusanadditional
10.7GWby2025,inordertomeetthisgoal.5Withover220GWofprospectiveutility-scalesolarandwindinprospectivephasesofdevelopment,and23GWofthissettobecomeoperationalby2025,ASEANcountrieshavethepotentialtosurpassthisgoal.
Furthermore,thisrelativelyunambitiousregionaltargetallowscountrieswithsignificantexistinghydro-powerandrenewableenergy,likeLaos,Cambodia,Malaysia,andVietnam,wheretheaveragerenewableenergymixstandsat58%,tocompensateforcoun-triesthatcontinuetorelyheavilyonfossilfuels,suchasIndonesiawithlessthan15%renewableenergy.Althoughnationalpoliciesdesignedtoattractrenew-ablepowerinvestmentsareaclearsignthatASEANcountriesaregearinguptoincreasetheirsolarandwindcapacity,thismobilizationisunderminedby
entrenchedfossilfuelinfrastructurewhichrestrictsnewinvestmentinutility-scalesolarandwind.
Gasandcoaleachaccountforapproximately30%ofASEANcountries’totalinstalledcapacity,andcoal-firedpowerplantcapacityhasseenanannualgrowthrateof7%since2017.Fossilfueluseislikelytocontinue,asrisingenergydemandsareoutpacingutility-scalesolarandwinddevelopmentinASEANcountries,anddemandisinsteadbeingmetwithayoungcoalfleet.Likewise,nationalenergypoliciestouttheuseofgasasanalleged“steppingstone”intheenergytransition;ASEANnationsarethereforelikelytobenetimportersofgasby2025toaccom-modatethenewbuildoutofgas-firedpowerplants,furtherentrenchingASEANcountriesinfossilfueldependence.Indonesia,thePhilippines,Vietnam,MalaysiaandThailandrepresentASEANcountrieswiththehighestconsumptionandproductionoffossilfuels,aconcerningstatusascontinuedfossilfuelusestifleseffortstoreachnetzerogoals.
Insufficientinvestmentinreinforcingthegridinfra-structureisanotherpersistenthurdleforintegratingutility-scalesolarandwindpowerintocountries’electricalgrids.Forexample,Vietnam’slatestsolarfleethasexperiencedanonslaughtofobstaclesrelatedtogridintegration,whichmayserveasabellwethertoinvestorsofthechallengestheycouldfaceinASEANcountriesopeningsolarandwindmarkets.
However,itisevidentfromprogressinnationalenergypoliciesthatASEANcountriesaremakinganefforttoattractprivateinvestmentinsolarand
5.Fordetailsondefinitionsandmethodologyseethemethodologypage.
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|13
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
winddevelopmenttohelpalleviatethishurdle.Theseinvestmentsarebeingcourtednotonlyfromout-sidetheregion,butalsoamongASEANcountries.MultilateralpowerpurchasingandtransmissioninfrastructurebetweenASEANcountriesisseeingrapiddevelopment,suchasSingapore’spartnerships
withIndonesiaandCambodiatoimport3GWofrenewableenergyby2028.Intentionalandtranspar-entpolicycanguideASEANcountriesandsendclearsignalstoinvestorsthattheyarecommittedtotheenergytransition.
Figure5:OnlyaFractionofProspectiveSolar&WindPowerinSoutheastAsiaIsCurrentlyInConstruction
Statusofprospectiveutility-scalesolar&windpowercapacity,ingigawatts(GW)
Howtoreadthischart:
widthofbars=%ofprospectivecapacitybystatus
heightofbars=totalprospectivecapacity,ingigawatts(GW)
Construction?Pre-Construction?Announced
200GW
Philippines
150GW
100GW
Vietnam
50GW
Indonesia
Othercountries
combined
Myanmar
0GW
Laos
0
20
40
60
80
100
Percentageofprospectivecapacity(%)
Note:Dataincludesonlysolarprojectphaseswithacapacityof20megawatts(MW)ormoreandwindprojectphaseswithacapacityof10MWormore.
OthercountriescombinedincludesThailand,Cambodia,Malaysia,Singapore,andBrunei.Timor-Lestedoesnothaveanyprospectivecapacity.
Source:GlobalSolarPowerTracker,GlobalWindPowerTracker
GLOBALENERGYMONITOR REPORT|JANUARY2024|14
ARACETOTHETOP:SOUTHEASTASIA2024
IV.COUNTRYHIGHLIGHTS
Brunei
Bruneiaimstoproduce200MWofsolarpowerby2025andattributeatleast30%oftotalpowergen-erationby2025tosolarenergy.Thisisanincreasefromearliergoalsof100MWforthesameperiod.
Whileeffortsarebeingmadetofacilitatedistributedsolargeneration,therearenoutility-scalesolarorwindpowerprojectsinoperation.Withonly30MWofprospectiveutility-scalesolar,Bruneimustdoubledowninordertoachievetheirlaudable2025target.Whilethereareeffortstofacilitateprivatesectorinvolvementinthedevelopmentandfinancingofrenewableenergy,gascontributesthelargestshareofenergysupply,andgasandcrudeoilaccountfor65%ofBrunei’sGDPand95%ofexports.Thecountryhasalsorecentlysanctionedgasreservestofurtheraddressgasdemands.
Indonesia
Utility-scalesolarandwindpowercontributelessthan1%ofIndonesia’stotaloperatingcapacity.619GWofutility-scalesolarandwindpowerareindevelopment,withover85%ofthispowercomingfromutility-scalesolarpowerdevelopment,yetnoneofthiscapacity
iscurrentlyinconstruction.Indonesiahassetgoalstohave29GWofsolarand9GWofwindby2030,andhassetnetzeroemissionstargetsfor2060.Indonesia’srenewableenergydevelopmentiscomplicatedbytheheavygraspthatfossilfuelshaveonthecountry’senergysector.IndonesiaisinnegotiationswithG7countriesoverstipulationsofthe$20billionJETPinlightofit
溫馨提示
- 1. 本站所有資源如無特殊說明,都需要本地電腦安裝OFFICE2007和PDF閱讀器。圖紙軟件為CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.壓縮文件請下載最新的WinRAR軟件解壓。
- 2. 本站的文檔不包含任何第三方提供的附件圖紙等,如果需要附件,請聯系上傳者。文件的所有權益歸上傳用戶所有。
- 3. 本站RAR壓縮包中若帶圖紙,網頁內容里面會有圖紙預覽,若沒有圖紙預覽就沒有圖紙。
- 4. 未經權益所有人同意不得將文件中的內容挪作商業或盈利用途。
- 5. 人人文庫網僅提供信息存儲空間,僅對用戶上傳內容的表現方式做保護處理,對用戶上傳分享的文檔內容本身不做任何修改或編輯,并不能對任何下載內容負責。
- 6. 下載文件中如有侵權或不適當內容,請與我們聯系,我們立即糾正。
- 7. 本站不保證下載資源的準確性、安全性和完整性, 同時也不承擔用戶因使用這些下載資源對自己和他人造成任何形式的傷害或損失。
最新文檔
- 沙灣縣2025年六年級下學期小升初招生數學試卷含解析
- 上海市浦東新區2025年小升初數學模擬試卷含解析
- 南通職業大學《園林生態學》2023-2024學年第二學期期末試卷
- 江蘇省揚州市江都區八校2025年初三下學期階段測試(二)英語試題試卷含答案
- 貴州機電職業技術學院《系統工程基礎》2023-2024學年第一學期期末試卷
- 山西省三區八校2025年高三下學期第三次診斷考試物理試題含解析
- 2025年山東省濟南市山東師范大學附中高三第二學期開學統練數學試題含解析
- 2025年貴州省黔南州第二學期期末教學質量檢測試題初三化學試題含解析
- 云南省保山市隆陽區保山曙光學校2025屆數學五下期末監測模擬試題含答案
- 2022抖音知識課件
- 軍事國防教育基地方案
- 金氏五行升降中醫方集
- 小兒常見皮疹識別與護理
- 2025年山西經貿職業學院單招職業技能考試題庫新版
- 某連鎖藥店公司發展戰略
- 2025年河南工業和信息化職業學院單招職業技能測試題庫及答案1套
- 校長在2025春季開學思政第一課講話:用《哪吒2》如何講好思政課
- 《迪拜帆船酒店》課件
- 2025年晉城職業技術學院高職單招語文2018-2024歷年參考題庫頻考點含答案解析
- (一模)烏魯木齊地區2025年高三年級第一次質量歷史試卷(含官方答案)
- 《漂亮的熱帶魚》課件
評論
0/150
提交評論