錦繡居概率分析情況表,,,,,,,,,,,,,

方案名稱,"地價

（萬元/畝）","土地費

（萬元）","土地

樓面造價

（元/M2）",概率分析結(jié)果（期望值）,,,,,,,,,備注

,,,,項目成本（萬元）,"項目成本

樓面造價

（元/M2）","土地費

占比例

（%）",銷售收入（萬元）,"利潤

（萬元）","投資利潤率

（%）","銷售利潤率

（%）","盈利

概率","虧本

概率",

方案一,20,663.8,134.73,7499.38,1522.16,8.85%,9135.71,1636.33,21.82%,17.91%,0.7,0.3,

方案二,25,829.75,168.42,7709.11,1564.73,10.76%,9135.71,1426.6,18.51%,15.62%,0.67,0.33,

方案三,30,995.7,202.1,7918.84,1607.3,12.57%,9135.71,1216.87,15.37%,13.32%,0.65,0.35,

方案四,35,1161.65,235.78,8128.57,1649.86,14.29%,9135.71,1007.14,12.39%,11.02%,0.65,0.35,

方案五,40,1327.6,269.46,8338.31,1692.44,15.92%,9135.71,797.4,9.56%,8.73%,0.64,0.36,

方案六,45,1493.55,303.15,8548.04,1735.01,17.47%,9135.71,587.67,6.87%,6.43%,0.64,0.36,

方案七,50,1659.5,336.83,8757.77,1777.57,18.95%,9135.71,377.94,4.32%,4.14%,0.64,0.36,

方案八,55,1825.45,370.51,8967.5,1820.14,20.36%,9135.71,168.21,1.88%,1.84%,0.6,0.4,

方案九,60,1991.4,404.2,9177.23,1862.71,21.70%,9135.71,-41.52,-0.45%,-0.45%,0.54,0.46,

方案十,65,2157.35,437.88,9386.96,1905.28,22.98%,9135.71,-251.25,-2.68%,-2.75%,0.52,0.48,

方案十一,70,2323.3,471.56,9596.69,1947.85,24.21%,9135.71,-460.98,-4.80%,-5.05%,0.39,0.61,

方案十二,75,2489.25,505.25,9806.42,1990.42,25.38%,9135.71,-670.71,-6.84%,-7.34%,0.39,0.61,

方案十三,80,2655.2,538.93,10016.15,2032.99,26.51%,9135.71,-880.44,-8.79%,-9.64%,0.25,0.75,

方案十四,85,2821.15,572.61,10225.88,2075.56,27.59%,9135.71,-1090.17,-10.66%,-11.93%,0.25,0.75,

方案十五,90,2987.1,606.29,10435.61,2118.13,28.62%,9135.71,-1299.9,-12.46%,-14.23%,0.22,0.78,

本文件由《房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)項目經(jīng)濟評價可行性研究及概預(yù)決算管